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BOGO drops 13% as soyoil makes one standard deviation adjustment
BOGO is now down 17.4% in last 3 months with most of the drop achieved only today after the fake rally of last friday. Expect further...
Henri Bardon
May 14, 20241 min read
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Rumors abound for Soyoil despite fundamentally heavy markets
Don't usual like to comment on Mondays as markets typically difficult to measure; however, Friday sudden rally in Soyoil just before May...
Henri Bardon
May 13, 20241 min read
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BOGO prints +165 heading South as Soyoil testing lows
Hate to say it but that BOGO chart is just not looking good as BOGO has been down nearly 30% in last 3 months ending at +165. Clearly...
Henri Bardon
May 9, 20242 min read
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Rain starting to reduce crops in both North/South hemisphere
Large amounts of rain in Europe during April has reduced what otherwise would be a bumper rapeseed crop. Similarly tail end of Southern...
Henri Bardon
May 8, 20241 min read
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Diesel contango widens to double digit through Sep
Golden week in Asia is over and yet ICE gasoil cracks are unchanged but product contango is much wider led by Europe ICE gasoil. Gross...
Henri Bardon
May 7, 20241 min read
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US trend reduction in Soyoil use for Renewable Diesel continues
EIA released Feb24 data yesterday May 1 and shows continued trend of reduced use of Soyoil (now 31%) with notably Tallow usage increasing...
Henri Bardon
May 1, 20241 min read
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Diesel develops unusual driving season contango
Easing of Russian Banks sanctions by US treasury on energy products has had its desired effect. Everyone now scrambling for finding...
Henri Bardon
May 1, 20241 min read
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Diesel screen crack margin dive in quiet markets
The fact that gasoil inventories rose again to 2.18 Mil MT in ARA not helping the bearish mood. In Asia distillate markets were quiet...
Henri Bardon
Apr 29, 20241 min read
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Rapeseed oil rips higher eliminating Biodiesel margin
Despite excellent crop conditions reported, prices of Rapeseed oil FOB Dutch mill reached 1000Eur/Mt bringing spot replacement margin to...
Henri Bardon
Apr 25, 20241 min read
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Soyoil stocks in US up 68% since Oct23 so BOGO drops another 7%
Soyoil futures trading correspondingly well below 20 DWMA with little hope in sight although premiums in South America are stronger. ...
Henri Bardon
Apr 16, 20241 min read
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BOGO has crashed as Argentina enters Soy harvest
Screen BOGO for May is now down 37% in the last 3 months and down 7% just today. Meanwhile FAME 0 premium in Northwest Europe are...
Henri Bardon
Apr 11, 20241 min read
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Biodiesel crush margin follows improving diesel cracks
Diesel barge margin in northwest europe back to $26/brl although there was little changes in stocks at 2.12 Mil MT. What strengthened...
Henri Bardon
Apr 9, 20241 min read
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Renewable Diesel defies Jones act as EIA reveals extent of Barge and vessel shipments to west coast
Despite the high cost of US flag vessels between US ports, renewable diesel from the Gulf coast has been able to ship nearly 50,000BPD...
Henri Bardon
Apr 5, 20241 min read
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Spot FAME Biodiesel trading at record premium +$257 over BOGO in NWE
Although ICE gasoil backwardation has bounced a bit it is still much lower than in Feb in Northwest Europe (NWE) as there is little issue...
Henri Bardon
Apr 4, 20241 min read
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Reduced use of Soyoil trend continues in US Biodiesel/Renewable diesel
EIA published on Mar29 their latest data for Jan 2024 which seems consistent with feedstock use trend throughout 2023 towards lower...
Henri Bardon
Apr 1, 20241 min read
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Diesel cracks getting pounded 2nd day in a row
Screen Heat crack has collapsed and cracks in Asia making new lows yet little effect on flat price. USDA report tonight is adding to...
Henri Bardon
Mar 28, 20241 min read
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China planned Apr exports break distillate backwardation
Gasoil screen backwardation to Dec is now down 41% this month while backwardation to sep is down 48%. China announced April export quota...
Henri Bardon
Mar 27, 20241 min read
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Soymeal futures crashing raises Oil-share above 42%
Despite blowout crush figures by NOPA at 186 M Bushels was +12% y-o-y but the impact is having a much more important role in Meal price...
Henri Bardon
Mar 18, 20241 min read
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Expected US Crush figures could be a record at +6% y-o-y
Soybean crush figures to be released by NOPA today would probably confirm 177-179 mbu crushed in Feb with screen oil share still at 41.5%....
Henri Bardon
Mar 15, 20241 min read
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GHG efficiency of Biofuels means less blending and larger exports from Germany
BLE has confirmed what was felt by all market traders that not only Biofuels usage has reached a plateau as feedstock choices have...
Henri Bardon
Mar 13, 20241 min read
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