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What is going on with RME biodiesel in NWE?
Gasoil drop last week of $100 per MT has been completely absorbed by premiums of RME in Nortwest Europe that are now trading at +951 over...
Henri Bardon
Feb 6, 20231 min read
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$100/MT Gasoil plunge in NWE Europe since Jan 30
Despite low gasoil inventories and Feb 5 sanctions gasoil has dropped $100/Mt in just a week. Natural gas leading the way down as Europe...
Henri Bardon
Feb 2, 20231 min read
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Rapeseed oil cash prices in Europe come under pressure
RSO prices remain the cheapest soft oil in Europe. However we note that premium in RME biodiesel are showing $150/mt backwardation to...
Henri Bardon
Feb 1, 20231 min read
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Crack margins in mineral oil still spectacular
3:2:1 cracks on screen led by Heat crack are still very high in case you were wondering how Exxon cleared $56Billion in profits in 2022....
Henri Bardon
Jan 31, 20231 min read
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Backwardation finally breaking - just beginning?
Gasoil Feb/Sep drops $30 mostly in front of curve to +$99 per MT while Soybean oil now in -22 contango through May. Premiums in South...
Henri Bardon
Jan 30, 20231 min read
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Massive improvements in Biodiesel margins while FAME premiums falling
Houston we now have a problem with demand as consumer watches prices falling yet backwardation in both Gasoil and Bean oil remain but for...
Henri Bardon
Jan 25, 20231 min read
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BOGO making new lows despite Gasoil cracks making new high
Rains in Argentina and a monster crop in Brazil is weighing on Soybeans and Soyoil. Anecdotal reports from harvest reports in Brazil...
Henri Bardon
Jan 23, 20231 min read
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EPA issues ruling on D4 RINs for ethanol to Biojet fuel production
EPA has issued a ruling allowing Lanzajet to issue D4 RINs at 1.6x based on undenatured ethanol feedstock to either Jet or Renewable...
Henri Bardon
Jan 19, 20231 min read
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Biodiesel Crush Margins down >20% in last 3 months
Weakness in Gasoil/Heating Oil has been crushing production margins although premium of Soybean oil Vs Gasoil has remained above 20 days...
Henri Bardon
Jan 16, 20231 min read
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Post WASDE comments on Oilseeds supplies: Soya >27% stock to use ratio
Seems like we are back to realities of ample oilseed supplies despite a drought in Argentina (reminding everyone that most of the...
Henri Bardon
Jan 14, 20231 min read
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FAME Biodiesel in Europe trades strongly above BOGO despite deep contango structure in premiums
FAME average of the month at +518 over ICE Gasoil while BOGO spot futures closed at +451. BOGO is in a clear contango of almost $50/mt...
Henri Bardon
Jan 12, 20231 min read
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US EPA not bullish Soy crush capacity growth despite Renewable Diesel forecasts
Difficult to reconcile the fact that world will add no less than 10 Million Metric Tons of additional Biodiesel/Renewable Diesel by 2027...
Henri Bardon
Jan 11, 20231 min read
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Thoughts on Biojet or Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) roadmap
Functional Biojet production installed capacity is currently about 500,000 Metric Tons yet we are aiming to increase this 10X by 2027. ...
Henri Bardon
Jan 10, 20231 min read
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Footprints of RD longs appear in Soyoil Mar call options
We are seeing footprints of Renewable Diesel longs in Mar Call options at strikes of 68, 70, 72, 74, 75 and even up to 80 in large...
Henri Bardon
Jan 9, 20231 min read
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Oct 2022 Biodiesel Feedstock use shows how sensitive it is to soy oil pricing
EIA releases Biodiesel data with almost 3 months delay but Oct data shows clearly how sensitive biodiesel feedstock use is to pricing of...
Henri Bardon
Jan 6, 20231 min read
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Biodiesel Screen Crush margin down 36% in last 3 months
FAME in Europe finally trading at BOGO values of +$520/mt over ICE Gasoil with premium in a contango structure. However we can see that...
Henri Bardon
Jan 5, 20231 min read
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New Sustainable Aviation Fuel IRS tax credit emerges for 2023 and 2024 from Inflation Reduction Act
There is much to write about Biodiesel but certainly more importantly it is the SAF credit of $1.25 per Gallon that will apply to...
Henri Bardon
Jan 4, 20231 min read
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Backwardation returns in both gasoil and especially bean oil
Inverse in Jan/May Bean oil is up 272% since Dec 5 while in Gasoil Jan/May is up 87% ...hmmmmm. Bean oil as coefficient has barely moved...
Henri Bardon
Dec 21, 20221 min read
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Is Bean oil overpriced Vs Diesel?
It is my go-to model for bean oil and it appears that trend has yet to be broken as we moved this month from the 1.80's to 1.60's. Still...
Henri Bardon
Dec 13, 20221 min read
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Gasoil in NWE back to pre-war levels of last February and not far from 200 day support level
Gasoil has dropped 15% in the last 3 months returning to pre-war levels as spot distillate inventories have grown in face of record...
Henri Bardon
Dec 9, 20221 min read
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