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SAF Still a Drop in the Tank as Biofuels Markets Brace for RVO Decision

May 8, 2025
2 min read

The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) highlighted a bullish long-term trend this week, projecting that renewable diesel and sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) growth could significantly alter the U.S. liquid fuels market. However, despite this positive outlook, the current reality tells a more complex story. SAF production remains a small fraction of total jet fuel use, and capacity additions—especially for SAF—are not scaling as quickly as headline projections might suggest.

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