Futures Price Peace While Physical Markets Price Shortage
The market is trading a de-escalation narrative that is not visible in physical flows. Early trading reflected this, with crude down around 1%, soybean oil down about 85 points, palm oil down roughly 70 points, and grains broadly weaker on the session. At the same time, attacks continue and logistics remain impaired. Futures are pricing relief, but the physical system continues to signal tightness.
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