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China’s SAF Pivot Meets Spreads Flashing Red in Soy Complex

Aug 28, 2025
3 min read

Updated: Aug 28, 2025

Europe is heading into its soybean harvest with expectations of a strong crop, mirroring the United States, where a record-breaking harvest is also in the works. Adding to the pressure, heat across the Midwest is pushing soybeans toward early maturity, and NOAA’s latest 8–14 day outlook points to cooperative weather that should accelerate harvest. USDA Crop Progress data confirms this trend, with several key states already reporting soybeans dropping leaves earlier than average — a clear sign that harvest is arriving sooner than usual.

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