Abundant Oils, Restrained Waste: A Pivotal Moment for Biofuels Policy
Vegetable oil production is set to hit a new record in 2025/26, with global output forecast at 234.5 million tonnes—enough to fully meet anticipated demand. According to USDA and Agrarmarkt data, this surge is driven by higher output across palm, soybean, rapeseed, and sunflower oils. However, even as global volumes rise, European policy is reshaping the conversation. UFOP has renewed its call to cap and eventually abolish the double counting of biofuels derived from waste oils, highlighting that the RED Annex IX framework increasingly limits blending of such feedstocks to promote crop-based oils. This is favorable for EU farmers who have responded with strong planting activity.
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