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Markets Resume Slide as Trade Tensions Escalate, Biofuels Feel the Heat
Global markets have resumed their downward trajectory as the U.S. imposes another round of tariffs on China—escalating duties by 50%...
Henri Bardon
Apr 82 min read
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The Soybean Oil Disconnect: Fuel Economics Under Pressure
The biodiesel market is flashing some contradictory signals this week, and producers and traders alike should be paying close attention....
Henri Bardon
Apr 72 min read
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Tariffs, Feedstocks, and the New Stratification of Biofuels
One week ago, global trade operated under familiar assumptions. This week, it doesn’t. With a sweeping executive order, the U.S. imposed...
Henri Bardon
Apr 63 min read
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Markets Disjointed as UCOME Drops Despite Feedstock Rally; USTR Shipping Proposal Emerges as Major Threat
Today’s UCOME activity in the Northwest Europe barge market saw unusually high volumes, but the flat price dropped $20/mt to $1,537/mt....
Henri Bardon
Apr 22 min read
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RIN Prices Hit $1 Mark as Biodiesel Margins Remain Under Pressure
Q2 opens with a significant milestone as D4 RINs have climbed to $0.995 , effectively touching the $1 threshold for the first time since...
Henri Bardon
Apr 12 min read
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EIA: lower use of vegetable oils mix in RD/Biodiesel
The latest EIA data reveals a concerning trend in the biodiesel and renewable diesel sectors, with overall feedstock use plummeting by at...
Henri Bardon
Mar 313 min read
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EU Certification Decision Could Upend Biofuel Industry
An earthquake of gigantic magnitude appears to be impacting traceability following the obsession by lobbyists at the EU that most of the...
Henri Bardon
Mar 282 min read
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Biofuels Market Update: Trump Administration Sparks BOGO Rally with Industry Reconciliation Plan
The biofuels market experienced a dramatic shift today as the Bean Oil-Gas Oil spread (BOGO) surged 14% to reach +302, primarily driven...
Henri Bardon
Mar 273 min read
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Palm Oil Market Analysis: BOPO Returns to Positive Territory Amid Global anxiety about tariffs
https://open.substack.com/pub/globalbiodiesel/p/palm-oil-market-analysis-bopo-returns?r=3f53s9&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelco...
Henri Bardon
Mar 261 min read
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Rapeseed Riddle: Market Inversions Defy Harvest Logic Amid Rising Trade Walls
https://open.substack.com/pub/globalbiodiesel/p/rapeseed-riddle-market-inversions?r=3f53s9&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOn...
Henri Bardon
Mar 251 min read
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Feb China UCO exports to US surprises
The recent data on Chinese UCO exports to the US has revealed some surprising trends. Even though January/February China UCO incremental...
Henri Bardon
Mar 243 min read
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Despite large backwardation in Diesel BOGO deeply in contango
The reality is that despite gasoil backwardation of +$16.75/mt to September, BOGO (Bean Oil Gas Oil spread) is in contango (carry) of...
Henri Bardon
Mar 232 min read
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EMTS data confirms dire situation of Biodiesel/RD in US
Bio/RD took the biggest hit from the fall in generated credits under RFS/EMTS. I am surprised it isn't worse but I think industry was...
Henri Bardon
Mar 202 min read
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South American Soybean Harvest: A Monster Crop with Global Implications
As we are now beyond the 50% mark of the harvest in Brazil, it is important to get some perspective on soybean and oilseed supplies. We...
Henri Bardon
Mar 193 min read
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BOGO Rebounds on Biodiesel Day as Markets Navigate Regulatory Crosscurrents
The biofuels market experienced notable shifts this week, with the Bean Oil-Gasoil Spread (BOGO) bouncing back almost a full standard...
Henri Bardon
Mar 182 min read
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Peace dividend & Ukraine's Commanding Market Share in EU Oilseed Imports
The European Union's vegetable oil market has become extraordinarily dependent on a single source: Ukraine. Recent data from the EU...
Henri Bardon
Mar 175 min read
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Policy Uncertainty and Trade Wars Threaten Industry Viability
D4 RINs going in wrong direction The renewable diesel and biodiesel markets are facing significant headwinds in early 2025, particularly...
Henri Bardon
Mar 134 min read
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Gasoil Backwardation Crumbles as Biofuels Markets Navigate Policy Minefield
The energy markets are experiencing notable shifts as ICE gasoil expired today with a nearly $13/mt premium to futures, while April/July...
Henri Bardon
Mar 122 min read
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Head of EPA announces 65% cuts
The head of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has sent shockwaves through renewable fuel markets with the announcement that...
Henri Bardon
Mar 113 min read
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Bean-Oil Palm Oil spread plunges
A week in the bio business feels like a month these days. CO2 pipeline cancelled in South Dakota with lawmakers banning the use of...
Henri Bardon
Mar 73 min read
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